Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems

Released on by Mr.Eduardo Borensztein
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  • Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems Book Detail

  • Author : Mr.Eduardo Borensztein
  • Release Date : 2000-01-24
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • Genre : Business & Economics
  • Pages : 44
  • ISBN 13 : 9781557758286
  • File Size : 57,57 MB
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Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems by Mr.Eduardo Borensztein PDF Summary

Book Description: Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. To predict crises, their causes must be clearly understood. Two competing strands of theories are reviewed in this paper. The first focuses on the consequences of such policies as excessive credit growth in provoking depletion of foreign exchange reserves and making a devaluation enevitable. The second emphasizes the trade-offs between internal and external balance that the policymaker faces in defending a peg.

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Early Warning Systems

Early Warning Systems

File Size : 24,24 MB
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Previous early-warning systems (EWSs) for currency crises have relied on models that require a priori dating of crises. This paper proposes an alternative EWS,

Do Indicators of Financial Crises Work?

Do Indicators of Financial Crises Work?

File Size : 60,60 MB
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The object of this paper is to develop an operational early warning system (EWS) that can detect financial crises. To achieve this goal the paper analyzes and e