Assessing Components of Uncertainty in Demographic Forecasts with an Application to Fiscal Sustainability

Released on by Juha Alho
preview-18

  • Assessing Components of Uncertainty in Demographic Forecasts with an Application to Fiscal Sustainability Book Detail

  • Author : Juha Alho
  • Release Date : 2022
  • Publisher :
  • Genre :
  • Pages : 0
  • ISBN 13 :
  • File Size : 84,84 MB
DOWNLOAD BOOK

Assessing Components of Uncertainty in Demographic Forecasts with an Application to Fiscal Sustainability by Juha Alho PDF Summary

Book Description: When the future evolution of demographic processes is described in a stochastic setting, the challenge is to communicate the meaning of forecast uncertainty in an understandable way, to decision makers and public at large. For the purpose of risk communication, a formal setting is developed, in which the roles of the demographic processes on point forecasts and predictive distributions can be elucidated. The communication problem becomes central in fiscal decision making, when eventual forecast errors have differential implications on the value of the policy options being considered. Tax rate that is required to maintain financial sustainability, until a given target year, is used for illustration.

Disclaimer: www.yourbookbest.com does not own Assessing Components of Uncertainty in Demographic Forecasts with an Application to Fiscal Sustainability books pdf, neither created or scanned. We just provide the link that is already available on the internet, public domain and in Google Drive. If any way it violates the law or has any issues, then kindly mail us via contact us page to request the removal of the link.

Beyond Six Billion

Beyond Six Billion

File Size : 55,55 MB
Total View : 5819 Views
DOWNLOAD

Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing grow

Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040

File Size : 42,42 MB
Total View : 1800 Views
DOWNLOAD

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implica