Bayesian Analysis and Uncertainty in Economic Theory

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  • Bayesian Analysis and Uncertainty in Economic Theory Book Detail

  • Author : Richard Michael Cyert
  • Release Date : 2012-12-06
  • Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
  • Genre : Business & Economics
  • Pages : 278
  • ISBN 13 : 9400931638
  • File Size : 40,40 MB

Bayesian Analysis and Uncertainty in Economic Theory by Richard Michael Cyert PDF Summary

Book Description: We began this research with the objective of applying Bayesian methods of analysis to various aspects of economic theory. We were attracted to the Bayesian approach because it seemed the best analytic framework available for dealing with decision making under uncertainty, and the research presented in this book has only served to strengthen our belief in the appropriateness and usefulness of this methodology. More specif ically, we believe that the concept of organizational learning is funda mental to decision making under uncertainty in economics and that the Bayesian framework is the most appropriate for developing that concept. The central and unifying theme of this book is decision making under uncertainty in microeconomic theory. Our fundamental aim is to explore the ways in which firms and households make decisions and to develop models that have a strong empirical connection. Thus, we have attempted to contribute to economic theory by formalizing models of the actual pro cess of decision making under uncertainty. Bayesian methodology pro vides the appropriate vehicle for this formalization.

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Uncertainty in Economic Theory

Uncertainty in Economic Theory

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This volume brings together important papers, coupled with new introductions, in the massively influential area of uncertainty in economic theory. Seminal paper