Beyond the Dikes: Flood Scenarios for Financial Stability Risk Analysis

Released on by Caterina Lepore
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  • Beyond the Dikes: Flood Scenarios for Financial Stability Risk Analysis Book Detail

  • Author : Caterina Lepore
  • Release Date : 2024-09-13
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • Genre :
  • Pages : 41
  • ISBN 13 :
  • File Size : 1,1 MB
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Beyond the Dikes: Flood Scenarios for Financial Stability Risk Analysis by Caterina Lepore PDF Summary

Book Description: We assess financial stability risks from floods in the Netherlands using a comprehensive set of flood scenarios considering different factors including geographical regions, flood types, climate conditions, return periods, and adaptation. The estimated damage from each flood scenario is used to calibrate the corresponding macro-financial scenario for bank stress tests. Our results show the importance of considering these heterogeneous factors when conducting physical climate risk stress tests, as the impact of floods on bank capital varies significantly by scenario. We find that climate change amplifies the adverse impact on banks’ capital, but stronger flood defenses in the Netherlands can help mitigate some impacts. Further, we find a non-linear relationship between flood damages and banks’ capital depletion, highlighting the importance of considering extreme scenarios.

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