Canada's Potential Growth

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  • Canada's Potential Growth Book Detail

  • Author : Mr.Marcello M. Estevão
  • Release Date : 2010-01-01
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • Genre : Business & Economics
  • Pages : 30
  • ISBN 13 : 1451962045
  • File Size : 60,60 MB

Canada's Potential Growth by Mr.Marcello M. Estevão PDF Summary

Book Description: This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labor services and total factor productivity, we find a sizeable drop in Canadian potential growth in the short term. The estimated decline of about 1 percentage point originates from a sharply decelerating capital stock accumulation (as investment has dropped steeply) and a rising long-term unemployment rate (which would raise equilibrium unemployment rates). However, over the medium term, we expect Canada's potential GDP growth to gradually rise to around 2 percent, below the pre-crisis growth rate, mostly reflecting the effects of population aging and a secular decline in average working hours.

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Canada's Potential Growth

Canada's Potential Growth

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This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP

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