Fiscal Multipliers in Advanced and Developing Countries

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  • Fiscal Multipliers in Advanced and Developing Countries Book Detail

  • Author : Viacheslav Sheremirov
  • Release Date : 2019
  • Publisher :
  • Genre :
  • Pages :
  • ISBN 13 :
  • File Size : 50,50 MB

Fiscal Multipliers in Advanced and Developing Countries by Viacheslav Sheremirov PDF Summary

Book Description: Using novel data on military spending for 129 countries in the period 1988-2013, this paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending on output in advanced and developing countries. Identifying government-spending shocks with an exogenous variation in military spending, we estimate one-year fiscal multipliers in the range 0.75-0.85. The cumulative multipliers remain significantly different from zero within three years after the shock. We find substantial heterogeneity in the multipliers across groups of countries. We then explore three potential sources leading to heterogeneous effects of fiscal policy: the state of the economy, openness to trade, and the exchange-rate regime. We find that the multipliers are especially large in recessions, in closed economies, and under a fixed exchange rate. We also discuss other potential reasons for heterogeneous effects of fiscal policy, such as its implementation and coordination with the monetary authority.

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How Big (Small?) are Fiscal Multipliers?

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We contribute to the intense debate on the real effects of fiscal stimuli by showing that the impact of government expenditure shocks depends crucially on key c

Fiscal Multipliers

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Fiscal multipliers are important tools for macroeconomic projections and policy design. In many countries, little is known about the size of multipliers, as dat