A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies

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  • A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies Book Detail

  • Author : Zoltan Jakab
  • Release Date : 2015-03-02
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • Genre : Business & Economics
  • Pages : 31
  • ISBN 13 : 1498399606
  • File Size : 49,49 MB

A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies by Zoltan Jakab PDF Summary

Book Description: The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. This paper creates a special version of GPM that includes the four largest Euro Area (EA) countries. The EA countries are more vulnerable to domestic and external demand shocks because adjustments in the real exchange rate between EA countries occur more gradually through inflation differentials. Spillovers from tight credit conditions in each EA country are limited by direct trade channels and small confidence spillovers, but we also consider scenarios where banks in all EU countries tighten credit conditions simultaneously.

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This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project