Commodity Price Cycles
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Commodity-exporting countries have significantly benefited from the commodity price boom of recent years. At the current juncture, however, uncertain global eco
Commodity-exporting countries have significantly benefited from the commodity price boom of recent years. At the current juncture, however, uncertain global eco
This paper studies commodity price cycles and their underlying drivers using a dynamic factor model. The study employs a sample of 39 monthly commodity prices o
Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our u
This paper examines the duration and magnitude of commodity-price cycles. It finds that for most commodities, price slumps last longer than price booms. How far
This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods