Forecasting Elections

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All political scientists aim to explain politics. In addition to this goal, Michael Lewis-Beck and Tom Rice aim to forecast political events, specifically elect

Understanding Elections through Statistics

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Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to people deciding for whom to vote, to election authorities deciding what to count, the

Forecasting Presidential Elections

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Describes a method for analyzing the forces that influence election results and predicting the outcome of elections for the president of the United States

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, Second Edition

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"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy ha

Politics and Big Data

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The importance of social media as a way to monitor an electoral campaign is well established. Day-by-day, hour-by-hour evaluation of the evolution of online ide