Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors

Released on by Joseph Nowarski
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  • Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors Book Detail

  • Author : Joseph Nowarski
  • Release Date : 2022-06-06
  • Publisher : Joseph Nowarski
  • Genre : Science
  • Pages : 17
  • ISBN 13 :
  • File Size : 5,5 MB
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Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors by Joseph Nowarski PDF Summary

Book Description: This publication introduces four methods to forecast the global surface temperature over land and ocean (global warming). The methods include a parabolic trendline of the last 61 years of global warming and cumulated CO2 emissions. Two other methods apply the velocity and the acceleration of global warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. The relation between the global surface temperature change and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions was determined in previous publications as 0.000745°C/GtCO2. The average result from all four methods for the business as usual CO2 mitigation scenario is 4.4°C (4.1°C -5.0°C). According to this forecast, the global temperature change will reach 1.5°C in 2031 (9 years from now) and 2.0°C in 2047 (25 years from now).

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CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100

CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100

File Size : 72,72 MB
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This work includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world’s global CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) in the period 2020-2100. The CO2 emissions BAU forecast