Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns

Released on by Mr.Noureddine Krichene
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  • Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns Book Detail

  • Author : Mr.Noureddine Krichene
  • Release Date : 2003-06-01
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • Genre : Business & Economics
  • Pages : 30
  • ISBN 13 : 1451854846
  • File Size : 26,26 MB
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Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns by Mr.Noureddine Krichene PDF Summary

Book Description: A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was consistent with both volatility clustering and mean reversion. Filtering showed highly volatile markets, reflecting frequent pertinent news. Diagnostics showed no model failure, although specification improvements were always possible. The model corroborated stylized findings in volatility modeling and has potential value for market participants in asset pricing and risk management, as well as for policymakers in the design of macroeconomic policies conducive to less volatile financial markets.

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