Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, Second Edition

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"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy ha

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things

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Predicting the Next President

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In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the

Review of

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Ray Fair is one of my favorite econometricians. He has an excellent website, where he freely shares his models. He writes clearly and his methods are reported i

Who Will be in the White House?

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Presenting models for making predictions about presidential elections, this brief supplementary text is accessible to students without a statistical background